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Tag Archives: Nouriel Roubini

Artificial Intelligence vs. human stupidity

AI might someday overcome human stupidity but to get the chance, we first mustn’t destroy ourselves COMMENT | NOURIEL ROUBINI | Since returning from this year’s World Economic Forum meeting in Davos, I have been asked repeatedly for my biggest takeaways. Among the most widely discussed issues this year was artificial …

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Where will the global economy land in 2024?

Many stagflationary megathreats over the medium-term horizon could push growth lower and inflation higher COMMENT | NOURIEL ROUBINI | Around this time a year ago, about 85% of economists and market analysts  including me  expected that the U.S. and global economy would suffer a recession. Falling but still-sticky inflation suggested that …

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Israel’s slippery slope

COMMENT | NOURIEL ROUBINI | My current visit to Israel has coincided with a period of unprecedented political turmoil. A radical right-wing government’s package of legislation to disempower the judiciary has started to be adopted, leading many to worry that this great country’s robust liberal democracy is being eroded. Since Israel …

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A mild global contraction is coming

While a severe credit crunch has been avoided, a short and shallow recession has become likely COMMENT | NOURIEL ROUBINI | There are currently four scenarios for the global economic outlook. Three of these entail potentially serious risks with far-reaching implications for markets. The most positive is a “soft landing,” where …

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More war means more inflation

Why that will lead to larger fiscal deficits, more debt monetisation, and higher inflation in future COMMENT | Nouriel Roubini | Inflation rose sharply throughout 2022 across both advanced economies and emerging markets. Structural trends suggest that the problem will be secular, rather than transitory. Specifically, many countries are now engaged in …

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Sleepwalking on Megathreat Mountain

How current intellectual and cultural climate forebodes the madness in the great interwar novel, The Magic Mountain COMMENT | Nouriel Roubini | A host of interconnected “megathreats” is imperiling our future. While some of these have been long in the making, others are new. The stubbornly low inflation of the pre-pandemic period …

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Stagflation, debt distress, financial innovation

Professor Emeritus of Economics at New York University, Nouriel Roubini speaks to Project Syndicate (PS) on that and more.  Project Syndicate: In your latest PS commentary, you reaffirmed your expectation that monetary authorities’ efforts to rein in inflation will “cause both an economic and a financial crash,” and that “regardless …

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The stagflationary debt crisis is here

Distress in markets shows central banks efforts to lower inflation will cause economic and financial crash COMMENT | NOURIEL ROUBINI | For a year now, I have argued that the increase in inflation would be persistent, that its causes include not only bad policies but also negative supply shocks, and …

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The gathering stagflationary storm

Impact of negative aggregate supply shocks that have curtailed production and increased costs  COMMENT | NOURIEL ROUBINI | The new reality with which many advanced economies and emerging markets must reckon is higher inflation and slowing economic growth. And a big reason for the current bout of stagflation is a …

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Russia’s war and the global economy

The risk is that markets and political analysts will underestimate the implications of this regime shift COMMENT | NOURIEL ROUBINI | Now that Russian President Vladimir Putin has launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, we must consider the economic and financial consequences of this massive historic development. The Ukraine war …

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